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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.66+0.82vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.60+1.15vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.26+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.16-1.38vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.04-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82University of Washington0.660.5%1st Place
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3.15Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.84Western Washington University-1.260.1%1st Place
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2.62University of Washington-0.160.2%1st Place
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3.58University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 50.7% | 26.7% | 14.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Ocean Smith | 11.9% | 19.7% | 27.4% | 23.9% | 17.1% |
| Jack Beeson | 7.3% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 24.9% | 41.9% |
| matthew Huskins | 20.9% | 28.9% | 25.9% | 16.3% | 8.0% |
| Kieran Lyons | 9.2% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 29.4% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.