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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.16+1.60vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-1.26+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.66-1.20vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.04-0.39vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.60-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6University of Washington-0.160.2%1st Place
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3.87Western Washington University-1.260.1%1st Place
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1.8University of Washington0.660.5%1st Place
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3.61University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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3.12Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| matthew Huskins | 22.3% | 28.3% | 25.0% | 15.4% | 9.0% |
| Jack Beeson | 6.1% | 8.1% | 19.3% | 25.8% | 40.7% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 49.8% | 29.5% | 13.3% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Kieran Lyons | 8.9% | 12.3% | 20.0% | 26.8% | 32.0% |
| Ocean Smith | 12.9% | 21.8% | 22.4% | 25.8% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.