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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.66+0.81vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-1.04+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.16-0.39vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.26-0.16vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.60-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81University of Washington0.660.5%1st Place
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3.62University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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2.61University of Washington-0.160.2%1st Place
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3.84Western Washington University-1.260.1%1st Place
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3.12Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 50.7% | 27.8% | 13.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Kieran Lyons | 7.8% | 12.6% | 20.3% | 28.1% | 31.2% |
| matthew Huskins | 22.1% | 28.0% | 24.6% | 17.1% | 8.2% |
| Jack Beeson | 6.1% | 10.2% | 18.9% | 23.6% | 41.2% |
| Ocean Smith | 13.3% | 21.4% | 22.5% | 25.7% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.