Race 1A

coast-guard-academy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Jack Roman 10.8% 12.6% 11.1% 10.9% 9.4% 10.5% 8.5% 6.8% 6.1% 5.6% 3.2% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Ryan McGauley 14.3% 12.2% 11.9% 9.6% 10.8% 9.0% 8.9% 5.6% 6.0% 4.5% 3.4% 2.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Sidney Moyer 5.3% 4.4% 6.2% 7.0% 7.7% 6.3% 7.3% 7.9% 10.4% 9.5% 9.2% 6.7% 5.8% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Drew Mastovsky 15.2% 15.9% 13.7% 10.8% 10.2% 10.1% 7.4% 6.4% 4.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Parker Moore 15.0% 15.8% 14.3% 9.8% 10.7% 9.9% 7.1% 6.6% 5.4% 1.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Gabby Collins 3.6% 4.7% 4.8% 7.7% 5.6% 7.4% 7.9% 7.7% 7.6% 9.0% 8.6% 9.1% 5.4% 6.4% 3.8% 0.7%
William Baker 4.2% 4.4% 5.0% 5.0% 4.4% 5.8% 6.0% 7.8% 6.1% 8.2% 10.2% 9.7% 10.0% 7.8% 4.2% 1.2%
Caroline Odell 2.3% 3.8% 2.6% 2.8% 4.4% 4.3% 4.4% 6.5% 6.7% 8.1% 7.2% 9.3% 12.4% 13.4% 9.1% 2.7%
Vincent Huang 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 1.4% 2.6% 3.9% 5.6% 9.7% 22.9% 45.0%
William Clay 1.6% 2.6% 3.9% 2.5% 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 4.7% 5.0% 6.4% 7.1% 10.5% 14.5% 17.0% 11.8% 4.7%
Brady Kennedy 7.3% 5.5% 5.9% 7.4% 7.2% 6.3% 9.0% 8.7% 8.6% 8.5% 9.6% 5.6% 5.5% 3.8% 0.7% 0.4%
Julian Dahiya 7.1% 6.2% 5.9% 10.4% 7.9% 8.7% 7.1% 6.6% 8.2% 9.3% 7.8% 7.2% 3.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1%
John Fichtenholtz 1.6% 2.1% 2.2% 3.2% 3.1% 3.9% 4.6% 5.0% 4.6% 7.1% 8.1% 10.0% 13.2% 12.9% 14.2% 4.2%
Dominik Moncur 5.5% 4.7% 6.3% 6.4% 8.0% 7.1% 8.4% 8.9% 8.0% 7.1% 8.5% 7.9% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.0%
David Vinogradov 5.2% 3.8% 5.0% 5.0% 6.4% 6.9% 7.8% 8.0% 8.6% 9.0% 8.6% 9.0% 8.4% 6.3% 1.5% 0.5%
Kashi Tuteja 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.3% 1.6% 1.4% 2.3% 1.8% 2.4% 5.3% 5.1% 10.2% 26.4% 39.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.