Race 5A

coast-guard-academy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Drew Mastovsky 16.2% 15.8% 14.9% 13.0% 9.4% 9.3% 5.5% 5.8% 4.3% 2.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Parker Moore 16.3% 15.3% 14.2% 11.2% 9.3% 8.3% 7.3% 6.6% 4.1% 3.7% 1.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Julian Dahiya 6.5% 7.0% 6.1% 7.6% 8.2% 8.1% 8.5% 9.1% 7.9% 9.7% 8.4% 6.3% 3.2% 2.0% 1.3% 0.1%
Dominik Moncur 3.8% 6.2% 5.8% 6.3% 6.6% 6.7% 7.2% 7.8% 9.3% 8.7% 8.2% 7.8% 8.3% 4.6% 2.3% 0.4%
Gabby Collins 4.9% 4.0% 5.0% 5.7% 6.4% 7.7% 8.1% 7.3% 7.8% 8.0% 10.0% 9.0% 7.7% 5.3% 2.6% 0.5%
David Vinogradov 4.0% 4.2% 5.2% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7% 7.9% 8.1% 7.4% 9.1% 8.1% 8.7% 7.3% 6.5% 2.9% 0.5%
Jack Roman 12.4% 8.9% 10.9% 9.8% 11.3% 10.1% 7.0% 8.4% 6.1% 5.5% 5.0% 2.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan McGauley 13.4% 12.3% 12.2% 11.1% 11.6% 8.2% 9.9% 6.0% 4.6% 5.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Brady Kennedy 5.3% 7.7% 5.7% 7.0% 7.2% 8.7% 8.2% 8.7% 10.1% 8.3% 6.3% 5.1% 6.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.4%
John Fichtenholtz 2.1% 2.6% 3.2% 2.0% 3.0% 2.9% 3.7% 4.4% 6.4% 6.1% 7.8% 9.6% 13.7% 17.2% 11.7% 3.6%
Sidney Moyer 5.8% 5.8% 6.0% 6.9% 6.1% 6.6% 7.2% 8.3% 8.0% 9.1% 9.9% 7.4% 6.3% 4.4% 1.9% 0.3%
William Baker 3.7% 4.3% 4.4% 5.1% 6.1% 6.4% 7.4% 7.4% 6.9% 7.9% 9.2% 7.9% 9.9% 8.7% 4.0% 0.7%
William Clay 1.8% 1.7% 2.3% 3.1% 3.8% 3.3% 4.6% 3.6% 6.3% 6.8% 7.4% 10.8% 12.3% 14.6% 12.9% 4.7%
Caroline Odell 2.8% 2.5% 2.7% 3.4% 3.2% 5.5% 5.1% 6.5% 6.3% 6.4% 8.6% 11.0% 11.1% 13.8% 8.5% 2.6%
Kashi Tuteja 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 2.0% 1.5% 2.9% 5.0% 5.5% 10.1% 26.4% 39.7%
Vincent Huang 0.1% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 1.2% 0.9% 2.5% 1.5% 2.7% 4.5% 4.6% 8.6% 23.8% 46.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.