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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.63+2.77vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+0.68vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.37+1.31vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.08+0.83vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.53-0.95vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.94-2.66vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Cornell University0.630.2%1st Place
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2.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.3%1st Place
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4.31SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
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3.34Princeton University0.940.2%1st Place
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5.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Greco | 15.4% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 8.7% |
| James Kopack | 28.6% | 24.7% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 14.7% |
| Ryan Begin | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 19.6% | 25.3% |
| Jack Homa | 11.3% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 11.6% |
| Logan Mraz | 20.0% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Katherine Mason | 7.6% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.