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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.53+2.93vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+0.71vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.94+0.35vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.63-0.11vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.37-0.68vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.08-1.24vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
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2.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.3%1st Place
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3.35Princeton University0.940.2%1st Place
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3.89Cornell University0.630.1%1st Place
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4.32SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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5.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Homa | 14.3% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 10.8% |
| James Kopack | 28.3% | 24.3% | 19.4% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Logan Mraz | 19.0% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Marcus Greco | 13.9% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 10.1% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 9.3% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 15.4% |
| Ryan Begin | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 24.7% |
| Katherine Mason | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 20.9% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.