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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.53+2.93vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+0.72vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.37+1.30vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.08-0.18vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.63-2.15vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.94-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
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2.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.3%1st Place
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4.3SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
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5.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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3.85Cornell University0.630.1%1st Place
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3.19Princeton University0.940.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Homa | 14.4% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 10.9% |
| James Kopack | 27.2% | 24.9% | 20.3% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 14.8% |
| Katherine Mason | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 20.8% | 34.7% |
| Ryan Begin | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 20.8% | 24.6% |
| Marcus Greco | 14.0% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 9.3% |
| Logan Mraz | 21.5% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.