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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.69vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.37+2.27vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.94+0.34vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.08+0.82vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.63-1.09vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.53-1.98vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.3%1st Place
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4.27SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
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3.34Princeton University0.940.2%1st Place
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4.82University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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3.91Cornell University0.630.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
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4.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 31.9% | 21.0% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 9.5% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 15.0% |
| Logan Mraz | 18.4% | 19.6% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Ryan Begin | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 25.6% |
| Marcus Greco | 12.0% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 9.6% |
| Jack Homa | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 10.7% |
| Katherine Mason | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.