← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.71vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University0.94+1.26vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.08+1.78vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College0.37+0.33vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan0.53-0.93vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University0.63-2.15vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.3%1st Place
-
3.26Princeton University0.940.2%1st Place
-
4.78University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
-
4.33SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
-
4.07University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
-
3.85Cornell University0.630.1%1st Place
-
5.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 31.1% | 22.7% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Logan Mraz | 19.5% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
| Ryan Begin | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 25.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 16.4% |
| Jack Homa | 9.9% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 11.8% |
| Marcus Greco | 14.5% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 9.7% |
| Katherine Mason | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 22.4% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.