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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.08+2.76vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.94+0.33vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.63-0.14vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.37-0.65vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-0.87vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.53-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.3%1st Place
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4.76University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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3.33Princeton University0.940.2%1st Place
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3.86Cornell University0.630.1%1st Place
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4.35SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
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5.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.1%1st Place
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3.87University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 31.1% | 23.1% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Begin | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 23.1% |
| Logan Mraz | 18.0% | 21.6% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 4.6% |
| Marcus Greco | 13.7% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 9.6% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 17.4% |
| Katherine Mason | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 34.3% |
| Jack Homa | 14.4% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.