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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.53+2.70vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.94+1.02vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.08+1.53vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.37+0.05vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.63-1.39vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75-2.62vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.87-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7University of Michigan0.530.2%1st Place
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3.02Princeton University0.940.2%1st Place
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4.53University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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4.05SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
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3.61Cornell University0.630.1%1st Place
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3.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.2%1st Place
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5.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Homa | 16.4% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 6.7% |
| Logan Mraz | 23.4% | 22.4% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Begin | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 21.9% | 16.3% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 12.9% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 9.8% |
| Marcus Greco | 14.9% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 6.6% |
| Sam Carson | 19.5% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 4.6% |
| Benjamin Mohrman | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.