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📊 Prediction Accuracy
39.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+3.75vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.56+3.44vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.40+2.25vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.56vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.43+4.90vs Predicted
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6Stanford University1.21+0.80vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.64vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.38+2.24vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-0.38+4.47vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-1.12vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.54-1.66vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.18-1.09vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.39+1.69vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.58+0.01vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University0.19-4.06vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-2.57vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.52-2.78vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-1.62vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.09-2.74vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.05-0.70vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-1.24-4.07vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands-1.98-2.79vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-2.43-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75University of California at Santa Barbara1.7816.3%1st Place
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5.44University of Hawaii1.5613.2%1st Place
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5.25University of Southern California1.4013.7%1st Place
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5.56California Poly Maritime Academy1.6210.8%1st Place
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9.9University of California at Irvine0.434.2%1st Place
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6.8Stanford University1.218.5%1st Place
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9.64University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.5%1st Place
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10.24University of Southern California0.383.4%1st Place
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13.47California State University Channel Islands-0.381.5%1st Place
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8.88California Poly Maritime Academy0.534.5%1st Place
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9.34Western Washington University0.543.8%1st Place
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10.91University of Washington0.183.0%1st Place
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14.69Arizona State University-0.391.5%1st Place
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14.01University of California at Berkeley-0.581.6%1st Place
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10.94San Diego State University0.193.0%1st Place
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13.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.2%1st Place
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14.22Arizona State University-0.522.1%1st Place
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16.38University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.7%1st Place
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16.26Arizona State University-1.090.9%1st Place
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19.3University of California at San Diego-2.050.4%1st Place
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16.93San Diego State University-1.240.6%1st Place
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19.21California State University Channel Islands-1.980.4%1st Place
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20.45San Diego State University-2.430.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 16.3% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 13.7% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Baldwin | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sam Jennings | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Emerson Marquez | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Owen Gormely | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Down | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Liam Williams | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 22.4% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 20.5% | 20.7% |
| Cal Dunstan | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 20.9% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.