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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.63+2.55vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.37+1.95vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.53+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.08+0.53vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75-1.57vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.94-2.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.87-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Cornell University0.630.2%1st Place
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3.95SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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3.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.2%1st Place
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3.07Princeton University0.940.2%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Greco | 17.4% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 6.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 12.7% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 14.1% | 9.6% |
| Jack Homa | 14.0% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Begin | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 16.7% |
| Sam Carson | 18.1% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 5.1% |
| Logan Mraz | 24.6% | 18.6% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 3.0% |
| Benjamin Mohrman | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.