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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.13+7.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.75+3.85vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+6.16vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.38+3.38vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+2.32vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.79+3.83vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.01+1.78vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.64+2.02vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.55-2.24vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.66+0.04vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.86-1.46vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.78vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-0.48vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.43-2.78vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-4.65vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.45-8.95vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.24-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Naval Academy2.750.1%1st Place
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9.16George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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9.83Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.78Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.02Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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6.76Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.04Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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12.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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11.22Cornell University1.430.0%1st Place
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10.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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7.05Tulane University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.87Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Woodworth | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Oliver Stokke | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Alex Adams | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Jordan Vieira | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% |
| Steven Hardee | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 22.7% |
| Ava Gustafson | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 12.1% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% |
| Kelly Holthus | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.