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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.45+5.82vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+4.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.75+2.87vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+3.61vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.90+4.01vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.86+3.55vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.22vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38-0.83vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.64+1.49vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.79-0.57vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.13-2.59vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+0.32vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.01-4.10vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.43-2.78vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-4.59vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.66-5.80vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.24-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Tulane University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.48Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Naval Academy2.750.1%1st Place
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7.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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9.01George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Miami1.860.0%1st Place
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7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.17Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.49Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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9.43Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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12.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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8.9Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.22Cornell University1.430.0%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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10.2Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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11.87Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Holthus | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Steven Hardee | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Stokke | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% |
| Alex Adams | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% |
| Cole Woodworth | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 22.8% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% |
| Ava Gustafson | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.