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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.86+8.12vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.45+4.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.75+2.88vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.01+4.80vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.24+6.65vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.66+4.32vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.55-0.42vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-0.58vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+3.58vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.43+0.94vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-0.49vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.78vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.13-4.57vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.79-4.23vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.38-7.71vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.90-6.78vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.64-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.12University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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6.94Tulane University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Naval Academy2.750.1%1st Place
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8.8Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.65Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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6.58Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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12.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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10.94Cornell University1.430.0%1st Place
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10.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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9.77Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.22George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.31Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Kelly Holthus | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 17.6% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 24.5% |
| Ava Gustafson | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Alex Adams | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.1% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.