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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.75+4.77vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.47+4.83vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.86+6.32vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.79+5.66vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.64+4.96vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.45+1.16vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.01+1.73vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.91vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.58vs Predicted
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10Cornell University0.92+2.78vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-3.33vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.66-1.91vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.90-3.70vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-1.59vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.55-8.40vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.38-8.73vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.24-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77U. S. Naval Academy2.750.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Miami1.860.0%1st Place
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9.66Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.96Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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7.16Tulane University2.450.1%1st Place
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8.73Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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12.78Cornell University0.920.0%1st Place
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7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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9.3George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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6.6Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.27Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.78Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 13.8% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Steven Hardee | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Alex Adams | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Jordan Vieira | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% |
| Kelly Holthus | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% |
| Adrianna D'Agati | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 23.3% |
| Landon Cormie | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 21.0% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.