← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.90+7.88vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+10.21vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.75+2.91vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.45+3.07vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.38+2.12vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.72vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.01+1.70vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.47-1.16vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.66+1.32vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.55-3.48vs Predicted
-
11University of Miami1.86-1.57vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.78vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University1.24-1.16vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University0.92-1.03vs Predicted
-
15Yale University1.79-5.44vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College1.64-5.72vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-6.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.88George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
-
12.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
-
5.91U. S. Naval Academy2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.07Tulane University2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.12Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
8.7Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
-
6.84University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
10.32Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
-
6.52Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
-
9.43University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
-
7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
11.84Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
-
12.97Cornell University0.920.0%1st Place
-
9.56Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
-
10.28Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
-
10.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 19.3% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kelly Holthus | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Jackson McAliley | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Steven Hardee | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 16.0% |
| Adrianna D'Agati | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 28.1% |
| Alex Adams | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Jordan Vieira | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.