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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+3.75vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.56+3.24vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+2.70vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.21+2.68vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.40+0.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+3.57vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands-0.38+6.37vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.54+1.19vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.38+1.24vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.18+1.12vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-2.18vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine0.43-2.14vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University0.19-2.00vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.580.00vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.54vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.52-1.68vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.39-2.42vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.24-1.09vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.09-2.69vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.05-0.53vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-4.51vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands-1.98-2.71vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-2.43-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75University of California at Santa Barbara1.7815.2%1st Place
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5.24University of Hawaii1.5613.9%1st Place
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5.7California Poly Maritime Academy1.6212.0%1st Place
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6.68Stanford University1.218.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Southern California1.4012.5%1st Place
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9.57University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.5%1st Place
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13.37California State University Channel Islands-0.381.1%1st Place
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9.19Western Washington University0.545.3%1st Place
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10.24University of Southern California0.383.3%1st Place
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11.12University of Washington0.183.2%1st Place
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8.82California Poly Maritime Academy0.535.1%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Irvine0.434.0%1st Place
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11.0San Diego State University0.193.0%1st Place
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14.0University of California at Berkeley-0.581.4%1st Place
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13.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.7%1st Place
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14.32Arizona State University-0.521.5%1st Place
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14.58Arizona State University-0.391.1%1st Place
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16.91San Diego State University-1.240.5%1st Place
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16.31Arizona State University-1.091.0%1st Place
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19.47University of California at San Diego-2.050.2%1st Place
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16.49University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.9%1st Place
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19.29California State University Channel Islands-1.980.3%1st Place
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20.3San Diego State University-2.430.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 15.2% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Baldwin | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 12.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jaden Unruh | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Jennings | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emerson Marquez | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Florence Duff | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Down | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 3.6% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 21.5% |
| Liam Williams | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 19.8% | 22.9% |
| Cal Dunstan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 19.6% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.