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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.36+5.08vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+4.62vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.27+7.09vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.30+6.16vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.39+4.73vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.11-1.95vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.37-0.73vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28+0.90vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.64-4.74vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.69-2.35vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.08-1.24vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.70-4.48vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-1.42vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.62-6.29vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21-5.59vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.80-8.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Yale University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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10.09Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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10.16Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.73George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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4.05Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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6.27University of Miami2.370.1%1st Place
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9.9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.0%1st Place
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5.26Tulane University2.640.1%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.76Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Naval Academy1.700.1%1st Place
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12.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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8.71Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.0%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elle Sykes | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% |
| Pilar Cundey | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 5.9% |
| Freddie Parkin | 19.5% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danny Riano | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% |
| Tate Christopher | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Gus Macaulay | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.2% |
| Leo Robillard | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Langdon Wallace | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 32.8% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Tomas Riccio | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 9.4% |
| Connor McHugh | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.