Race 5B

nevins

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Leo Robillard 5.9% 5.0% 6.7% 4.3% 6.0% 7.1% 6.5% 6.8% 6.1% 5.9% 7.3% 7.2% 6.2% 6.6% 5.7% 4.7% 2.0%
Gus Macaulay 4.8% 4.5% 5.1% 6.0% 6.6% 6.0% 6.5% 5.6% 5.2% 8.4% 9.2% 6.3% 6.7% 5.9% 7.1% 3.3% 2.8%
Freddie Parkin 19.0% 17.1% 15.0% 11.8% 8.9% 8.5% 5.9% 5.3% 3.8% 1.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jedidiah Bechtel 3.4% 4.4% 3.9% 4.6% 4.1% 3.8% 5.4% 4.7% 6.9% 5.9% 5.4% 8.8% 7.4% 8.8% 9.3% 7.1% 6.1%
Ian Lent 9.1% 8.7% 9.3% 9.0% 9.5% 8.4% 7.9% 7.0% 6.6% 5.3% 4.4% 3.7% 3.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.5%
Tate Christopher 11.7% 10.6% 11.3% 11.5% 8.5% 9.6% 6.3% 7.7% 5.1% 5.9% 4.4% 2.8% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2%
JJ Klempen 8.3% 8.2% 7.7% 7.1% 9.1% 8.4% 7.7% 9.1% 8.6% 6.3% 5.1% 4.7% 4.0% 2.7% 1.7% 1.3% 0.0%
Pj Rodrigues 5.6% 3.8% 6.9% 4.9% 6.6% 5.6% 6.3% 4.5% 6.6% 6.0% 7.4% 8.0% 5.7% 7.3% 6.0% 6.2% 2.6%
William Stratton 3.6% 4.6% 5.0% 4.5% 5.8% 5.8% 6.7% 7.5% 6.9% 8.5% 5.8% 6.6% 7.9% 6.0% 7.0% 5.1% 2.7%
Annika VanderHorst 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 1.6% 2.0% 1.1% 1.9% 2.4% 2.8% 2.5% 3.7% 5.9% 5.2% 6.7% 10.3% 14.4% 36.4%
Elle Sykes 9.4% 10.1% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 7.8% 7.8% 8.0% 6.1% 5.8% 6.2% 4.8% 3.2% 2.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Tomas Riccio 2.8% 3.2% 2.8% 4.5% 3.4% 3.9% 5.5% 4.9% 4.9% 5.8% 6.6% 6.3% 9.0% 8.1% 9.2% 9.7% 9.4%
Patrick Shachoy 3.7% 3.2% 3.3% 2.6% 3.3% 3.5% 4.7% 5.7% 6.5% 6.3% 6.4% 7.2% 8.8% 9.1% 8.5% 9.0% 8.2%
Connor McHugh 4.4% 6.2% 5.4% 5.7% 5.4% 6.5% 6.6% 6.9% 7.6% 7.3% 5.9% 7.9% 7.7% 5.6% 5.3% 4.1% 1.5%
Pilar Cundey 2.9% 3.9% 3.2% 5.7% 4.0% 4.9% 4.5% 4.7% 4.9% 5.4% 7.0% 7.8% 7.3% 8.0% 9.3% 9.4% 7.1%
Pierce Brindley 2.9% 2.4% 2.8% 5.0% 4.2% 4.6% 6.5% 4.7% 5.4% 7.6% 7.6% 6.9% 8.2% 7.3% 7.6% 9.5% 6.8%
Mats Braaten 1.5% 2.8% 2.3% 2.7% 4.1% 4.5% 3.3% 4.5% 6.0% 5.4% 5.9% 4.7% 6.3% 9.1% 9.2% 14.1% 13.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.