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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.21+5.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+2.69vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.56+2.45vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+4.79vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.40+0.27vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-0.44vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.54+2.17vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.60vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.38+1.50vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.43-0.07vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+2.30vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.45+1.82vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.18-1.86vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University0.19-3.28vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.38-1.75vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.39-1.17vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.09-0.49vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.52-3.77vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-2.38vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-1.98-0.47vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-2.43-0.58vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.05-2.82vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-1.24-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Stanford University1.218.6%1st Place
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4.69University of California at Santa Barbara1.7817.6%1st Place
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5.45University of Hawaii1.5612.2%1st Place
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8.79California Poly Maritime Academy0.534.5%1st Place
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5.27University of Southern California1.4013.9%1st Place
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5.56California Poly Maritime Academy1.6211.2%1st Place
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9.17Western Washington University0.545.1%1st Place
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9.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.9%1st Place
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10.5University of Southern California0.383.5%1st Place
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9.93University of California at Irvine0.433.2%1st Place
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13.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.7%1st Place
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13.82University of California at Berkeley-0.451.4%1st Place
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11.14University of Washington0.181.8%1st Place
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10.72San Diego State University0.192.8%1st Place
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13.25California State University Channel Islands-0.382.1%1st Place
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14.83Arizona State University-0.391.1%1st Place
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16.51Arizona State University-1.090.7%1st Place
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14.23Arizona State University-0.521.8%1st Place
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16.62University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.5%1st Place
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19.53California State University Channel Islands-1.980.4%1st Place
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20.42San Diego State University-2.430.2%1st Place
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19.18University of California at San Diego-2.050.3%1st Place
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16.77San Diego State University-1.240.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Baldwin | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 17.6% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 13.9% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Florence Duff | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Zoe Flemate | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jaden Unruh | 1.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Owen Gormely | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 3.9% |
| Andrew Down | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Liam Williams | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 4.0% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 20.3% | 22.9% |
| Cal Dunstan | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 19.7% | 38.9% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 21.9% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.