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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.78+0.64vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.67+2.58vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.52+0.01vs Predicted
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4Bates College-2.03+1.12vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.40-2.15vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-2.23-0.70vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-3.00-0.62vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-3.73-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.64Salve Regina University0.780.6%1st Place
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4.58University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.670.0%1st Place
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3.01University of Vermont-0.520.2%1st Place
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5.12Bates College-2.030.0%1st Place
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2.85Northeastern University-0.400.2%1st Place
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5.3University of New Hampshire-2.230.0%1st Place
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6.38Sacred Heart University-3.000.0%1st Place
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7.12Middlebury College-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Schneider | 57.5% | 26.5% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Leblond | 4.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 21.5% | 23.6% | 18.0% | 10.3% | 2.3% |
| Jacob Anders | 15.4% | 22.2% | 28.6% | 19.3% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Bogan | 2.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 21.0% | 25.5% | 16.1% | 5.3% |
| Jack Whitman | 16.5% | 27.1% | 26.1% | 19.0% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cole Norris | 2.5% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 21.0% | 24.6% | 17.5% | 8.2% |
| Callixtus O'Neill | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 31.0% | 28.2% |
| Patrick Duffy | 0.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 23.5% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.