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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.33+2.17vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-1.76+5.92vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.07+0.87vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.28+0.36vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.31-0.61vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.62+1.56vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.92-1.24vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-0.96-2.09vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.47-1.90vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-2.50-0.59vs Predicted
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11Lake Forest College-3.25-0.25vs Predicted
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12University of Chicago-1.71-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Northwestern University0.330.2%1st Place
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7.92Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
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3.87University of Michigan-0.070.2%1st Place
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4.36Ohio State University-0.280.1%1st Place
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4.39Michigan Technological University-0.310.1%1st Place
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7.56Northwestern University-1.620.0%1st Place
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5.76Marquette University-0.920.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Illinois-0.960.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Chicago-1.470.0%1st Place
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9.41Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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10.75Lake Forest College-3.250.0%1st Place
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7.81University of Chicago-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Eskilson | 24.3% | 21.2% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Sadalla | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 5.7% |
| Alden Gort | 18.5% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matei Meglic | 12.3% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wiand | 14.0% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Julius Sawhney | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 4.0% |
| Kai Suh | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 2.1% |
| George Prokop | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 26.2% | 22.5% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 16.7% | 58.3% |
| James Klancnik | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.