← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University-1.76+6.93vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University0.33+1.12vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University-1.62+4.58vs Predicted
-
4Michigan Technological University-0.31+0.46vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan-0.07-1.06vs Predicted
-
6University of Chicago-1.71+1.77vs Predicted
-
7Michigan State University-2.50+2.29vs Predicted
-
8Marquette University-0.92-2.19vs Predicted
-
9Ohio State University-0.28-4.81vs Predicted
-
10University of Illinois-0.96-4.11vs Predicted
-
11University of Chicago-1.47-3.67vs Predicted
-
12Lake Forest College-3.25-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.93Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
-
3.12Northwestern University0.330.3%1st Place
-
7.58Northwestern University-1.620.0%1st Place
-
4.46Michigan Technological University-0.310.1%1st Place
-
3.94University of Michigan-0.070.2%1st Place
-
7.77University of Chicago-1.710.0%1st Place
-
9.29Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
-
5.81Marquette University-0.920.1%1st Place
-
4.19Ohio State University-0.280.1%1st Place
-
5.89University of Illinois-0.960.1%1st Place
-
7.33University of Chicago-1.470.0%1st Place
-
10.7Lake Forest College-3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Sadalla | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 6.7% |
| Gavin Eskilson | 25.4% | 20.2% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julius Sawhney | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Wiand | 12.0% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alden Gort | 17.7% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| James Klancnik | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 6.1% |
| George Prokop | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 26.2% | 20.9% |
| Kai Suh | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Matei Meglic | 13.8% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 3.2% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.