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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-1.62+6.58vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.33+1.13vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-0.96+2.95vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.31+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.07-1.07vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-2.50+3.50vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.92-1.27vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.28-3.77vs Predicted
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10Lake Forest College-3.25+0.67vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago-1.71-3.33vs Predicted
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12University of Chicago-1.47-4.73vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-1.76-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Northwestern University-1.620.0%1st Place
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3.13Northwestern University0.330.2%1st Place
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5.95University of Illinois-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.41Michigan Technological University-0.310.1%1st Place
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3.93University of Michigan-0.070.2%1st Place
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9.5Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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5.73Marquette University-0.920.1%1st Place
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4.23Ohio State University-0.280.2%1st Place
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10.67Lake Forest College-3.250.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Chicago-1.710.0%1st Place
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7.27University of Chicago-1.470.0%1st Place
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7.93Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Sawhney | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 5.6% |
| Gavin Eskilson | 23.9% | 21.5% | 19.9% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Wiand | 12.3% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alden Gort | 16.5% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| George Prokop | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 29.6% | 22.3% |
| Kai Suh | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Matei Meglic | 15.8% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 54.2% |
| James Klancnik | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 5.4% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 3.7% |
| Luke Sadalla | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.