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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.33+2.16vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-1.76+5.89vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.07+0.86vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.28+0.30vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.31-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.71+1.76vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.92-1.24vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.62-0.49vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-2.50-0.56vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-0.96-5.11vs Predicted
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12University of Chicago-1.47-4.67vs Predicted
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13Lake Forest College-3.25-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Northwestern University0.330.2%1st Place
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7.89Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
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3.86University of Michigan-0.070.2%1st Place
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4.3Ohio State University-0.280.1%1st Place
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4.39Michigan Technological University-0.310.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Chicago-1.710.0%1st Place
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5.76Marquette University-0.920.1%1st Place
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7.51Northwestern University-1.620.0%1st Place
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9.44Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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5.89University of Illinois-0.960.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Chicago-1.470.0%1st Place
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10.71Lake Forest College-3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Eskilson | 24.3% | 20.5% | 18.7% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Sadalla | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 5.6% |
| Alden Gort | 18.1% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matei Meglic | 12.4% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Wiand | 13.6% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| James Klancnik | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 10.8% | 6.1% |
| Kai Suh | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Julius Sawhney | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 5.6% |
| George Prokop | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 27.0% | 20.4% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 3.8% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 17.5% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.