← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gavin Eskilson 23.2% 22.2% 19.1% 13.1% 9.3% 6.2% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Matei Meglic 13.3% 14.8% 13.9% 13.8% 13.2% 10.3% 9.2% 5.6% 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Kai Suh 8.6% 6.3% 9.3% 9.9% 9.4% 14.6% 11.2% 10.2% 10.3% 6.8% 3.1% 0.3%
Alden Gort 15.9% 16.8% 16.2% 14.3% 12.1% 10.8% 5.8% 4.8% 2.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Domenico Sacchetti 7.3% 6.9% 8.4% 10.1% 10.0% 12.1% 12.7% 11.4% 9.3% 7.3% 3.6% 0.9%
Luke Sadalla 3.1% 3.3% 4.0% 5.8% 6.2% 4.9% 10.0% 11.7% 14.6% 16.0% 15.5% 4.9%
Julius Sawhney 3.5% 5.6% 4.3% 4.4% 8.4% 7.5% 10.5% 11.5% 13.8% 13.7% 11.4% 5.4%
Andrew Wiand 15.9% 12.7% 13.6% 13.6% 11.6% 10.8% 8.9% 6.8% 3.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.4%
Alex Strassberg Alonso 3.0% 4.6% 5.0% 7.4% 9.3% 9.0% 11.5% 13.4% 13.7% 13.2% 7.6% 2.3%
George Prokop 1.4% 2.0% 1.8% 3.7% 2.5% 3.2% 4.9% 7.9% 9.2% 14.4% 26.8% 22.2%
Van Baghdasaryan 1.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.8% 2.3% 3.8% 3.8% 8.0% 17.2% 58.5%
James Klancnik 3.7% 4.0% 3.8% 3.0% 6.8% 8.8% 9.1% 11.0% 15.6% 15.5% 13.7% 5.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.