← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University0.33+2.14vs Predicted
-
2Ohio State University-0.28+2.32vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University-0.92+2.82vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan-0.07-0.09vs Predicted
-
5University of Illinois-0.96+0.96vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-1.76+1.90vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-1.62+0.49vs Predicted
-
8Michigan Technological University-0.31-3.65vs Predicted
-
10University of Chicago-1.47-2.88vs Predicted
-
11Michigan State University-2.50-1.57vs Predicted
-
12Lake Forest College-3.25-1.23vs Predicted
-
13University of Chicago-1.71-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.14Northwestern University0.330.2%1st Place
-
4.32Ohio State University-0.280.1%1st Place
-
5.82Marquette University-0.920.1%1st Place
-
3.91University of Michigan-0.070.2%1st Place
-
5.96University of Illinois-0.960.1%1st Place
-
7.9Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
-
7.49Northwestern University-1.620.0%1st Place
-
4.35Michigan Technological University-0.310.2%1st Place
-
7.12University of Chicago-1.470.0%1st Place
-
9.43Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
-
10.77Lake Forest College-3.250.0%1st Place
-
7.8University of Chicago-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Eskilson | 23.2% | 22.2% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matei Meglic | 13.3% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kai Suh | 8.6% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Alden Gort | 15.9% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Luke Sadalla | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 4.9% |
| Julius Sawhney | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 5.4% |
| Andrew Wiand | 15.9% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| George Prokop | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 26.8% | 22.2% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 17.2% | 58.5% |
| James Klancnik | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.