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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.07+2.93vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-1.76+5.88vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.28+1.31vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.33-0.91vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.92+0.89vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-2.50+3.50vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.62+0.47vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-0.31-3.66vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.71-1.32vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-1.47-2.86vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-0.96-4.94vs Predicted
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12Lake Forest College-3.25-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93University of Michigan-0.070.2%1st Place
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7.88Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
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4.31Ohio State University-0.280.1%1st Place
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3.09Northwestern University0.330.2%1st Place
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5.89Marquette University-0.920.1%1st Place
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9.5Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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7.47Northwestern University-1.620.0%1st Place
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4.34Michigan Technological University-0.310.2%1st Place
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7.68University of Chicago-1.710.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Chicago-1.470.0%1st Place
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6.06University of Illinois-0.960.1%1st Place
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10.71Lake Forest College-3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Gort | 15.7% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Sadalla | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 5.5% |
| Matei Meglic | 14.3% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Eskilson | 25.0% | 22.8% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Suh | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| George Prokop | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 15.9% | 25.7% | 23.8% |
| Julius Sawhney | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Wiand | 15.6% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| James Klancnik | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 3.7% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 2.9% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 16.8% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.