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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.33+1.74vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.28+1.80vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.31+0.91vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-1.71+2.61vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.07-1.65vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-0.96-0.92vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.47-0.81vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-2.50-1.07vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.62-3.58vs Predicted
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12Lake Forest College-3.25-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Northwestern University0.330.3%1st Place
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3.8Ohio State University-0.280.1%1st Place
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3.91Michigan Technological University-0.310.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Chicago-1.710.0%1st Place
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3.35University of Michigan-0.070.2%1st Place
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5.08University of Illinois-0.960.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Chicago-1.470.0%1st Place
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7.93Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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6.42Northwestern University-1.620.0%1st Place
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8.96Lake Forest College-3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Eskilson | 30.9% | 23.3% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matei Meglic | 14.9% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Wiand | 14.9% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| James Klancnik | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 6.2% |
| Alden Gort | 17.9% | 22.3% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 4.3% |
| George Prokop | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 29.0% | 24.9% |
| Julius Sawhney | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 14.2% | 5.6% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 19.6% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.