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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.56+4.34vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.21+4.73vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+1.67vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine0.43+6.03vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+0.65vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.40-0.76vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.18+4.11vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.54+1.28vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.60vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-1.32vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.39+3.75vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.38-1.35vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University0.19-2.12vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.48vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.45-1.39vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.38-2.70vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.09-0.72vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.52-3.96vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-1.24-2.18vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-3.38vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-1.98-1.57vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-2.43-1.50vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-2.05-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34University of Hawaii1.5612.0%1st Place
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6.73Stanford University1.218.0%1st Place
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4.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.7816.6%1st Place
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10.03University of California at Irvine0.433.8%1st Place
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5.65California Poly Maritime Academy1.6212.3%1st Place
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5.24University of Southern California1.4014.1%1st Place
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11.11University of Washington0.182.6%1st Place
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9.28Western Washington University0.543.5%1st Place
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9.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.7%1st Place
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8.68California Poly Maritime Academy0.535.1%1st Place
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14.75Arizona State University-0.391.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Southern California0.383.9%1st Place
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10.88San Diego State University0.192.4%1st Place
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13.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.5%1st Place
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13.61University of California at Berkeley-0.452.4%1st Place
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13.3California State University Channel Islands-0.381.7%1st Place
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16.28Arizona State University-1.090.7%1st Place
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14.04Arizona State University-0.521.9%1st Place
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16.82San Diego State University-1.241.0%1st Place
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16.62University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.9%1st Place
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19.43California State University Channel Islands-1.980.2%1st Place
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20.5San Diego State University-2.430.2%1st Place
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19.25University of California at San Diego-2.050.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Summers | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Baldwin | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 16.6% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Owen Gormely | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Zoe Flemate | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Andrew Down | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Liam Williams | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 3.9% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 21.0% | 23.6% |
| Cal Dunstan | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 19.8% | 39.4% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.