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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.27+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-1.11+2.04vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.58+2.18vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-2.58+3.79vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-2.64+2.74vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.09-2.00vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.83-1.30vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-2.91+0.55vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-2.23-2.17vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-3.64+0.29vs Predicted
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11Lake Forest College-3.29-1.61vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-2.83-3.44vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-3.58-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Northwestern University-0.270.3%1st Place
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4.04University of Chicago-1.110.2%1st Place
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5.18Northwestern University-1.580.1%1st Place
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7.79Michigan Technological University-2.580.0%1st Place
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7.74Marquette University-2.640.0%1st Place
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4.0University of Michigan-1.090.2%1st Place
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5.7Purdue University-1.830.1%1st Place
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8.55Northwestern University-2.910.0%1st Place
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6.83Ohio State University-2.230.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Chicago-3.640.0%1st Place
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9.39Lake Forest College-3.290.0%1st Place
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8.56Michigan State University-2.830.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Illinois-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Warfel | 34.2% | 25.7% | 15.9% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Naseef | 15.2% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Spates | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Astrid Myhre | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
| Charlie Herman | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| John McCalmont | 15.6% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Liu | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Annika Shah | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 7.5% |
| Lexi Hind | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Ethan Levy | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 19.2% | 28.8% |
| Miriam Arnold-Nott | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 15.8% |
| Lucia Sharp | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
| Ari Zukerman | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.