← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University-0.27+1.52vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan-1.09+2.01vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University-1.58+2.17vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University-2.91+4.66vs Predicted
-
5Michigan Technological University-2.58+2.65vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University-2.64+1.87vs Predicted
-
7Purdue University-1.83-1.27vs Predicted
-
8Michigan State University-2.83+0.32vs Predicted
-
9Ohio State University-2.23-2.15vs Predicted
-
10Lake Forest College-3.29-0.46vs Predicted
-
11University of Chicago-3.64-0.75vs Predicted
-
12University of Illinois-3.58-1.68vs Predicted
-
13University of Chicago-1.11-8.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.52Northwestern University-0.270.4%1st Place
-
4.01University of Michigan-1.090.2%1st Place
-
5.17Northwestern University-1.580.1%1st Place
-
8.66Northwestern University-2.910.0%1st Place
-
7.65Michigan Technological University-2.580.0%1st Place
-
7.87Marquette University-2.640.0%1st Place
-
5.73Purdue University-1.830.1%1st Place
-
8.32Michigan State University-2.830.0%1st Place
-
6.85Ohio State University-2.230.1%1st Place
-
9.54Lake Forest College-3.290.0%1st Place
-
10.25University of Chicago-3.640.0%1st Place
-
10.32University of Illinois-3.580.0%1st Place
-
4.11University of Chicago-1.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Warfel | 35.3% | 24.0% | 18.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 15.5% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Spates | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Annika Shah | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 8.8% |
| Astrid Myhre | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Charlie Herman | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Max Liu | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Sharp | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% |
| Lexi Hind | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Miriam Arnold-Nott | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 17.1% |
| Ethan Levy | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 26.8% |
| Ari Zukerman | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 29.7% |
| Max Naseef | 13.5% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.