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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.27+1.51vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.09+1.87vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-2.58+4.54vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-2.91+4.34vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.83+0.45vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.64+1.59vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-2.23-0.47vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.58-3.05vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.11-5.00vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-4.17+1.03vs Predicted
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11Lake Forest College-3.29-1.93vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-3.58-2.01vs Predicted
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13University of Chicago-3.64-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Northwestern University-0.270.3%1st Place
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3.87University of Michigan-1.090.2%1st Place
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7.54Michigan Technological University-2.580.0%1st Place
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8.34Northwestern University-2.910.0%1st Place
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5.45Purdue University-1.830.1%1st Place
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7.59Marquette University-2.640.0%1st Place
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6.53Ohio State University-2.230.1%1st Place
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4.95Northwestern University-1.580.1%1st Place
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4.0University of Chicago-1.110.1%1st Place
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11.03Michigan State University-4.170.0%1st Place
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9.07Lake Forest College-3.290.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Illinois-3.580.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Chicago-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Warfel | 34.7% | 24.7% | 17.5% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 15.9% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Astrid Myhre | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Annika Shah | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 5.2% |
| Max Liu | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Herman | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Lexi Hind | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Rowan Spates | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Max Naseef | 14.7% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AUSTIN SJAARDA | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 20.6% | 40.5% |
| Miriam Arnold-Nott | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 9.0% |
| Ari Zukerman | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 19.9% | 19.8% |
| Ethan Levy | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.