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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-1.83+4.61vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-1.11+1.91vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.27-0.53vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-2.58+3.55vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-2.64+2.48vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-2.23+0.54vs Predicted
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7Lake Forest College-3.29+2.10vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.58-3.05vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.09-5.05vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-4.17+1.03vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago-3.64-1.06vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-3.58-1.99vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-2.91-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Purdue University-1.830.1%1st Place
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3.91University of Chicago-1.110.1%1st Place
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2.47Northwestern University-0.270.4%1st Place
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7.55Michigan Technological University-2.580.0%1st Place
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7.48Marquette University-2.640.0%1st Place
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6.54Ohio State University-2.230.1%1st Place
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9.1Lake Forest College-3.290.0%1st Place
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4.95Northwestern University-1.580.1%1st Place
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3.95University of Michigan-1.090.2%1st Place
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11.03Michigan State University-4.170.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Chicago-3.640.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Illinois-3.580.0%1st Place
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8.46Northwestern University-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Liu | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Max Naseef | 14.7% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Warfel | 35.4% | 23.9% | 18.0% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Astrid Myhre | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Charlie Herman | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Lexi Hind | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Miriam Arnold-Nott | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 9.5% |
| Rowan Spates | 9.0% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 16.0% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| AUSTIN SJAARDA | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 42.5% |
| Ethan Levy | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 18.0% |
| Ari Zukerman | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 20.2% |
| Annika Shah | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.