Race 5B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
George Warfel 34.4% 23.5% 17.7% 11.3% 6.8% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rowan Spates 9.0% 9.7% 11.4% 11.7% 15.4% 11.3% 10.8% 7.6% 7.4% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Max Naseef 13.4% 16.8% 15.2% 13.6% 13.1% 12.2% 7.3% 4.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
John McCalmont 15.0% 15.5% 16.4% 15.2% 12.3% 10.2% 5.9% 5.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Astrid Myhre 4.3% 3.1% 5.0% 8.0% 6.7% 8.7% 9.2% 10.9% 12.5% 14.4% 9.3% 6.8% 1.1%
Lexi Hind 4.5% 6.6% 6.2% 9.2% 8.6% 10.5% 13.2% 11.5% 9.6% 8.8% 7.3% 3.0% 1.0%
Milo Fernandez 6.0% 6.0% 7.9% 8.3% 8.7% 9.6% 10.2% 12.9% 12.0% 8.5% 6.6% 3.0% 0.3%
Max Liu 7.0% 9.2% 9.0% 10.1% 11.1% 13.1% 12.6% 10.3% 8.4% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Charlie Herman 2.8% 4.0% 5.1% 5.2% 5.7% 7.5% 9.6% 12.3% 13.2% 13.0% 10.9% 8.3% 2.4%
AUSTIN SJAARDA 0.4% 1.1% 1.0% 1.2% 2.5% 2.5% 2.3% 3.3% 4.3% 7.8% 10.9% 20.1% 42.6%
Ari Zukerman 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 3.4% 3.7% 4.5% 6.6% 9.4% 14.9% 16.5% 18.0% 16.7%
Ethan Levy 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 1.6% 2.6% 3.7% 5.3% 5.7% 6.8% 10.2% 16.2% 22.2% 22.4%
Miriam Arnold-Nott 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 3.1% 3.6% 7.2% 8.1% 11.1% 12.4% 17.1% 16.4% 13.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.