Race 6B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
George Warfel 34.4% 23.3% 18.2% 11.3% 6.4% 3.1% 1.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Naseef 13.9% 16.8% 15.4% 14.8% 12.6% 11.3% 5.5% 5.2% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Rowan Spates 7.4% 11.4% 11.6% 12.5% 11.6% 12.7% 12.3% 8.0% 6.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2%
John McCalmont 16.0% 14.2% 15.3% 15.0% 12.9% 10.0% 7.5% 4.9% 2.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Max Liu 8.1% 7.6% 10.6% 9.6% 11.6% 10.9% 12.5% 10.9% 7.8% 6.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.3%
Milo Fernandez 4.9% 5.9% 7.3% 8.2% 10.3% 10.7% 11.3% 11.5% 10.7% 10.4% 5.5% 2.7% 0.6%
Miriam Arnold-Nott 2.3% 2.5% 2.2% 2.4% 4.5% 4.9% 7.0% 6.6% 10.5% 13.3% 17.1% 17.6% 9.1%
Lexi Hind 4.8% 6.4% 5.8% 7.9% 9.3% 9.5% 11.9% 12.8% 12.7% 8.8% 6.8% 2.8% 0.5%
AUSTIN SJAARDA 0.4% 1.2% 0.6% 2.6% 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 3.2% 4.7% 6.0% 13.2% 20.2% 41.4%
Astrid Myhre 3.6% 4.6% 4.0% 5.4% 6.8% 9.0% 9.9% 12.2% 12.9% 11.2% 10.5% 7.1% 2.8%
Charlie Herman 2.6% 3.7% 5.4% 6.0% 8.5% 7.7% 10.0% 12.2% 12.6% 13.5% 9.2% 5.3% 3.3%
Ari Zukerman 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 2.1% 4.0% 5.5% 5.3% 7.0% 11.3% 17.8% 19.8% 21.2%
Ethan Levy 0.9% 0.9% 2.0% 2.1% 1.7% 3.5% 2.8% 6.0% 9.8% 11.9% 15.1% 22.7% 20.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.