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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-2.47+5.24vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.09+0.92vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.83+1.50vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-2.58+2.44vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.23+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-3.64+3.13vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-2.83-0.02vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-3.26+0.10vs Predicted
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9Lake Forest College-3.29-0.87vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-3.58-1.09vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago-2.48-4.69vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-1.95-7.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Northwestern University-2.470.1%1st Place
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2.92University of Michigan-1.090.3%1st Place
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4.5Purdue University-1.830.1%1st Place
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6.44Michigan Technological University-2.580.1%1st Place
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5.49Ohio State University-2.230.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Chicago-3.640.0%1st Place
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6.98Michigan State University-2.830.1%1st Place
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8.1Northwestern University-3.260.0%1st Place
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8.13Lake Forest College-3.290.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Illinois-3.580.0%1st Place
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6.31University of Chicago-2.480.1%1st Place
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4.85Northwestern University-1.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bascoe | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| John McCalmont | 28.8% | 23.8% | 16.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Liu | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Astrid Myhre | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Lexi Hind | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Ethan Levy | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 28.7% |
| Lucia Sharp | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Heather Mooney | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 15.0% |
| Miriam Arnold-Nott | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.0% |
| Ari Zukerman | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 24.4% |
| Eliot Hack | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.