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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-2.48+5.21vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-2.47+4.12vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.83+1.46vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.09-1.10vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-2.58+1.48vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.95-1.24vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-3.58+1.80vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-2.23-2.54vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-3.64+0.06vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-2.83-2.99vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-3.26-2.62vs Predicted
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12Lake Forest College-3.29-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21University of Chicago-2.480.1%1st Place
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6.12Northwestern University-2.470.1%1st Place
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4.46Purdue University-1.830.1%1st Place
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2.9University of Michigan-1.090.3%1st Place
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6.48Michigan Technological University-2.580.1%1st Place
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4.76Northwestern University-1.950.1%1st Place
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8.8University of Illinois-3.580.0%1st Place
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5.46Ohio State University-2.230.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Chicago-3.640.0%1st Place
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7.01Michigan State University-2.830.1%1st Place
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8.38Northwestern University-3.260.0%1st Place
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8.35Lake Forest College-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliot Hack | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Sean Bascoe | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Max Liu | 14.4% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| John McCalmont | 27.4% | 25.6% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Astrid Myhre | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 12.9% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ari Zukerman | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 25.0% |
| Lexi Hind | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Ethan Levy | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 19.0% | 24.0% |
| Lucia Sharp | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% |
| Heather Mooney | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 17.4% |
| Miriam Arnold-Nott | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.