Race 2A

savin-hill-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Tristan McDonald 14.0% 13.1% 13.8% 12.5% 11.4% 11.6% 9.0% 6.7% 3.9% 3.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Owen Grainger 8.7% 9.2% 11.8% 11.1% 11.6% 11.5% 10.4% 8.9% 8.9% 3.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Griggs Diemar 17.4% 17.3% 15.2% 13.3% 12.5% 10.6% 5.7% 4.1% 2.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Joslin 21.7% 19.0% 15.6% 13.6% 12.1% 8.1% 4.6% 2.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Charles Gish 10.0% 9.3% 11.7% 9.3% 10.3% 11.5% 10.9% 10.2% 8.0% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Jeremy Bullock 6.8% 7.6% 7.0% 10.7% 9.9% 9.0% 12.6% 9.7% 10.7% 7.8% 5.2% 2.5% 0.5%
Crue Ziskind 8.5% 6.9% 9.1% 8.6% 8.8% 9.8% 11.4% 11.8% 9.9% 7.4% 5.3% 2.0% 0.5%
Joey Richardson 3.9% 6.2% 4.7% 6.2% 6.7% 7.6% 10.7% 12.0% 10.8% 14.0% 9.2% 6.5% 1.5%
Richard Kalich 1.3% 2.8% 2.1% 3.6% 3.5% 3.0% 3.9% 5.9% 9.8% 13.7% 16.9% 18.8% 14.7%
Cole Amaral 4.6% 4.2% 4.4% 5.8% 6.3% 7.1% 9.0% 12.8% 11.0% 12.5% 11.7% 7.3% 3.3%
Oscar Gilroy 0.9% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 2.5% 3.3% 5.6% 7.4% 11.6% 21.8% 41.8%
Kaitlyn Beaver 1.2% 2.7% 2.6% 3.2% 4.1% 5.0% 6.1% 6.7% 10.3% 14.0% 17.3% 15.9% 10.9%
Sean Morrison 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 3.3% 3.2% 5.0% 7.6% 9.4% 16.3% 22.5% 26.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.