Race 3A

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Tristan McDonald 14.2% 13.3% 13.3% 13.7% 12.9% 9.7% 8.3% 6.6% 4.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Peter Joslin 22.3% 18.6% 17.7% 11.6% 11.9% 7.0% 5.0% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Gish 7.4% 10.0% 10.7% 11.1% 10.0% 11.8% 12.1% 8.9% 9.8% 4.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Owen Grainger 9.5% 8.6% 10.1% 13.4% 10.8% 11.3% 9.6% 9.4% 8.3% 5.6% 2.8% 0.2% 0.4%
Griggs Diemar 19.1% 17.7% 14.6% 12.9% 11.4% 9.2% 6.6% 4.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Joey Richardson 5.1% 4.6% 5.2% 6.2% 7.5% 8.4% 9.7% 10.9% 12.2% 11.7% 10.2% 7.2% 1.1%
Jeremy Bullock 7.8% 8.2% 8.4% 7.6% 8.7% 10.8% 11.3% 10.6% 10.5% 8.3% 5.1% 2.3% 0.4%
Crue Ziskind 6.6% 8.2% 7.5% 8.6% 9.4% 11.8% 12.3% 12.0% 9.1% 8.4% 3.6% 2.3% 0.2%
Cole Amaral 3.4% 4.2% 5.2% 5.9% 6.2% 6.6% 8.6% 12.2% 13.0% 13.2% 10.5% 8.4% 2.6%
Richard Kalich 1.5% 2.5% 2.8% 2.1% 3.2% 3.8% 5.6% 6.1% 9.4% 13.3% 16.6% 18.2% 14.9%
Sean Morrison 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 2.2% 2.7% 3.7% 3.7% 5.4% 6.4% 11.7% 16.1% 23.7% 21.2%
Kaitlyn Beaver 1.5% 2.7% 2.1% 3.5% 4.3% 4.6% 5.6% 6.7% 9.3% 13.2% 20.4% 16.3% 9.8%
Oscar Gilroy 0.7% 0.4% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.3% 1.6% 3.3% 3.4% 6.4% 10.9% 19.7% 49.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.