Race 4A

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Tristan McDonald 14.8% 13.9% 12.9% 12.7% 12.6% 9.7% 9.5% 6.8% 3.7% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Joslin 22.6% 18.6% 16.6% 14.4% 9.9% 7.8% 4.4% 3.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Griggs Diemar 17.8% 17.0% 14.7% 13.8% 12.4% 9.8% 6.0% 4.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Jeremy Bullock 6.1% 7.6% 7.7% 8.8% 9.0% 9.8% 12.4% 11.0% 10.7% 8.5% 6.2% 1.4% 0.8%
Cole Amaral 4.0% 4.7% 4.6% 6.2% 7.1% 7.9% 9.3% 9.9% 13.3% 12.4% 12.1% 6.0% 2.5%
Crue Ziskind 7.4% 7.4% 8.4% 9.1% 9.0% 10.8% 10.7% 11.6% 9.6% 8.0% 4.5% 3.0% 0.5%
Charles Gish 9.5% 9.5% 11.7% 9.8% 9.7% 11.4% 11.1% 10.6% 8.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Owen Grainger 9.5% 10.0% 10.1% 9.8% 11.2% 12.8% 12.3% 9.3% 6.5% 5.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Richard Kalich 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 2.3% 4.2% 3.7% 3.8% 6.6% 8.6% 11.1% 19.8% 20.5% 13.0%
Sean Morrison 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 2.7% 1.6% 2.8% 3.0% 5.5% 5.8% 10.2% 15.4% 24.7% 23.6%
Kaitlyn Beaver 1.9% 2.0% 2.5% 3.3% 4.8% 5.5% 6.5% 7.8% 11.8% 15.0% 15.8% 14.4% 8.7%
Joey Richardson 3.3% 4.5% 5.5% 6.0% 7.2% 7.1% 8.7% 10.9% 13.2% 15.4% 9.1% 6.7% 2.4%
Oscar Gilroy 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 0.9% 2.3% 2.6% 4.2% 5.6% 11.2% 20.6% 48.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.