Race 5A

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter Joslin 21.2% 19.6% 16.0% 12.4% 10.7% 8.0% 6.0% 2.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Keenan 5.1% 6.1% 7.2% 7.8% 6.9% 10.1% 11.0% 10.7% 12.5% 10.7% 7.1% 3.8% 1.0%
Tristan McDonald 13.6% 13.8% 12.4% 12.6% 13.0% 8.7% 10.7% 6.4% 5.3% 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Owen Grainger 9.1% 8.6% 9.9% 12.5% 10.8% 10.8% 11.3% 9.3% 7.6% 6.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Joey Richardson 4.9% 4.5% 5.0% 6.8% 7.6% 8.0% 8.0% 10.9% 13.9% 12.1% 10.1% 7.0% 1.2%
Charles Gish 9.4% 9.3% 10.9% 11.9% 9.9% 10.3% 9.5% 9.5% 8.7% 5.8% 3.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Jeremy Bullock 6.7% 8.0% 8.5% 8.8% 7.7% 10.1% 10.6% 11.3% 10.5% 8.6% 6.2% 2.6% 0.4%
Griggs Diemar 18.2% 17.4% 14.8% 11.6% 15.7% 8.6% 5.5% 4.7% 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Crue Ziskind 7.0% 6.7% 8.1% 8.0% 7.0% 12.3% 11.8% 11.3% 10.4% 8.9% 5.3% 2.8% 0.4%
Sean Morrison 0.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% 3.2% 2.6% 4.2% 5.9% 9.2% 16.3% 24.8% 25.3%
Richard Kalich 1.5% 1.8% 2.5% 1.7% 3.9% 5.0% 5.1% 7.7% 7.6% 14.9% 17.9% 19.4% 11.0%
Oscar Gilroy 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 1.9% 3.1% 3.5% 7.9% 10.2% 18.5% 49.5%
Kaitlyn Beaver 2.1% 1.7% 1.9% 2.9% 3.6% 3.7% 6.0% 8.1% 10.1% 11.8% 18.6% 18.7% 10.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.