Race 6A

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Griggs Diemar 18.6% 15.8% 15.4% 13.9% 11.5% 9.0% 6.9% 4.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Jeremy Bullock 6.5% 5.9% 7.5% 8.5% 9.7% 11.4% 10.2% 10.6% 11.6% 9.9% 5.2% 2.6% 0.4%
Crue Ziskind 6.1% 6.4% 8.9% 9.1% 9.8% 9.7% 10.8% 10.2% 11.8% 7.7% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6%
Tristan McDonald 14.0% 12.5% 14.2% 15.0% 10.6% 8.9% 8.4% 7.5% 5.2% 2.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Kaitlyn Beaver 2.1% 3.2% 2.3% 2.7% 4.6% 5.4% 5.6% 7.6% 7.8% 12.4% 19.2% 19.4% 7.7%
Peter Joslin 22.1% 20.6% 16.0% 12.6% 9.2% 7.7% 4.9% 3.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Oscar Gilroy 0.4% 1.4% 1.1% 1.7% 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 2.6% 3.4% 6.7% 11.4% 19.4% 46.7%
Ryan Keenan 5.3% 6.9% 7.0% 5.6% 8.6% 9.9% 11.8% 10.3% 11.6% 11.6% 7.5% 3.3% 0.6%
Owen Grainger 9.5% 8.2% 10.4% 10.1% 11.8% 11.8% 9.2% 10.1% 9.8% 4.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.5%
Richard Kalich 1.8% 2.5% 2.4% 1.7% 3.5% 3.6% 4.5% 6.9% 8.5% 12.9% 17.0% 20.1% 14.6%
Joey Richardson 4.6% 4.7% 4.9% 7.8% 6.5% 7.0% 10.5% 11.7% 11.9% 12.3% 10.5% 5.3% 2.3%
Charles Gish 7.9% 10.8% 8.7% 9.6% 10.4% 11.9% 11.5% 10.7% 7.6% 6.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3%
Sean Morrison 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 2.3% 2.1% 3.6% 4.0% 6.3% 10.7% 15.4% 24.5% 26.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.