Race 7A

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Tristan McDonald 13.8% 14.1% 13.6% 12.4% 12.4% 9.8% 9.2% 5.7% 4.5% 3.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Peter Joslin 21.2% 18.9% 16.7% 13.2% 10.0% 8.2% 5.3% 3.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Gish 7.6% 9.3% 11.5% 10.1% 10.3% 10.1% 11.4% 11.0% 9.0% 5.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Jeremy Bullock 6.7% 6.5% 5.8% 10.7% 9.5% 10.8% 10.6% 10.5% 10.9% 8.8% 6.4% 2.4% 0.4%
Griggs Diemar 18.5% 17.9% 14.5% 12.9% 11.6% 8.3% 7.6% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Crue Ziskind 7.0% 7.3% 7.6% 9.6% 9.4% 10.0% 10.5% 12.2% 10.0% 7.9% 6.2% 2.0% 0.3%
Owen Grainger 10.0% 10.7% 9.9% 9.1% 10.9% 11.8% 10.1% 12.0% 5.7% 6.0% 3.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sean Morrison 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 2.0% 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% 3.4% 7.0% 10.6% 15.6% 26.3% 22.8%
Joey Richardson 4.3% 4.1% 5.7% 5.8% 6.3% 6.7% 8.8% 11.8% 13.0% 12.7% 12.4% 6.2% 2.2%
Ryan Keenan 5.9% 6.1% 6.7% 6.9% 9.4% 9.9% 11.2% 9.4% 12.8% 9.4% 7.0% 3.7% 1.6%
Kaitlyn Beaver 2.0% 1.4% 3.2% 3.9% 4.1% 5.7% 5.1% 7.9% 11.1% 15.2% 15.7% 16.2% 8.5%
Richard Kalich 1.3% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 2.4% 4.6% 5.7% 6.0% 7.3% 12.3% 18.1% 20.8% 15.3%
Oscar Gilroy 0.7% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 2.2% 4.1% 6.7% 10.9% 20.2% 48.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.