Race 8A

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ryan Keenan 5.9% 5.6% 6.4% 8.7% 8.8% 8.5% 9.5% 10.8% 12.4% 11.9% 7.6% 3.3% 0.6%
Crue Ziskind 6.6% 7.1% 7.5% 9.1% 8.0% 10.3% 12.2% 11.8% 9.9% 9.5% 4.6% 2.7% 0.7%
Owen Grainger 7.9% 10.2% 10.6% 11.0% 10.1% 10.4% 13.1% 9.1% 8.0% 6.1% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Charles Gish 7.7% 9.4% 11.6% 11.3% 9.2% 10.7% 11.1% 10.3% 7.4% 7.0% 3.3% 0.6% 0.4%
Tristan McDonald 15.2% 14.0% 13.4% 11.5% 12.6% 10.2% 8.8% 5.8% 5.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Griggs Diemar 19.1% 17.3% 15.1% 13.3% 12.1% 7.4% 6.5% 4.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Kaitlyn Beaver 2.4% 3.2% 2.0% 3.7% 3.6% 6.4% 5.4% 7.3% 9.3% 12.2% 18.6% 17.0% 8.9%
Jeremy Bullock 6.3% 7.2% 7.8% 8.3% 10.2% 10.2% 10.8% 12.4% 10.9% 8.3% 5.0% 2.5% 0.1%
Peter Joslin 21.3% 18.3% 16.2% 12.3% 10.9% 7.5% 6.1% 3.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Joey Richardson 4.6% 4.4% 4.8% 6.4% 6.9% 9.0% 7.8% 11.7% 11.6% 11.7% 11.7% 6.6% 2.8%
Sean Morrison 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.9% 3.2% 3.2% 3.6% 5.1% 7.0% 11.0% 15.6% 25.0% 21.6%
Richard Kalich 1.2% 2.0% 2.7% 1.7% 3.0% 4.8% 3.6% 5.9% 9.0% 11.3% 17.6% 22.1% 15.1%
Oscar Gilroy 0.9% 0.3% 1.0% 0.8% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 2.4% 3.7% 6.7% 11.3% 19.0% 49.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.