Race 2B

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Thomas Whidden 17.3% 14.9% 15.1% 13.0% 11.7% 10.2% 7.3% 5.6% 2.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Richard Pokorny 9.3% 11.7% 11.2% 12.3% 12.3% 10.4% 10.0% 8.7% 7.5% 3.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Leonardo Burnham 5.1% 6.1% 8.5% 9.7% 8.7% 10.8% 11.8% 10.9% 10.5% 8.4% 6.6% 2.4% 0.5%
reece schwartz 13.3% 12.2% 13.8% 12.9% 12.1% 10.2% 8.8% 8.0% 4.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Cody Roe 24.5% 21.7% 15.8% 12.0% 9.9% 7.1% 4.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Heath 2.2% 2.3% 2.9% 4.0% 3.6% 5.7% 5.5% 7.5% 8.7% 14.3% 16.7% 17.4% 9.2%
Leila Pfrang 10.9% 8.7% 9.2% 8.1% 11.9% 12.2% 10.7% 9.6% 8.5% 5.7% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4%
Grant Schmidt 6.3% 7.9% 6.4% 8.0% 8.7% 11.0% 11.6% 10.9% 11.1% 8.4% 5.5% 3.7% 0.5%
Tamsin Horne 2.5% 3.6% 3.7% 4.8% 4.9% 3.9% 6.3% 8.5% 9.8% 15.4% 15.4% 14.6% 6.6%
Shea McGrath 3.7% 4.1% 3.6% 4.7% 5.4% 6.3% 8.3% 9.9% 10.4% 13.4% 13.4% 11.3% 5.5%
Caeden Nodurft 3.2% 4.3% 7.0% 6.1% 6.8% 8.0% 8.5% 10.5% 13.8% 10.9% 11.3% 6.7% 2.9%
Harrison Stevens 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 3.2% 2.6% 3.2% 5.1% 5.9% 7.4% 10.1% 15.2% 23.8% 18.6%
Griffin Jones 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 4.2% 5.3% 9.0% 17.4% 55.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.