Race 3B

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Leonardo Burnham 6.6% 5.8% 8.1% 10.7% 8.3% 9.4% 11.6% 11.6% 10.2% 8.1% 5.4% 3.1% 1.1%
Richard Pokorny 10.5% 10.0% 13.4% 10.1% 12.0% 11.1% 10.1% 8.4% 6.6% 4.9% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Caeden Nodurft 3.3% 3.5% 3.9% 7.7% 4.6% 9.7% 9.2% 9.7% 12.2% 12.9% 11.4% 9.1% 2.8%
Thomas Whidden 16.0% 16.9% 13.8% 13.2% 13.1% 9.2% 8.2% 4.8% 2.8% 0.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Grant Schmidt 7.6% 6.4% 8.6% 7.2% 9.7% 9.8% 9.6% 12.7% 10.6% 7.9% 6.2% 3.0% 0.7%
Leila Pfrang 8.7% 9.6% 10.3% 10.2% 11.7% 9.2% 11.7% 8.8% 7.8% 5.6% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
reece schwartz 14.1% 13.9% 12.2% 13.0% 10.9% 10.7% 8.5% 8.0% 4.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Cody Roe 24.5% 20.6% 16.3% 13.5% 11.0% 7.1% 4.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Tamsin Horne 2.5% 3.9% 3.7% 3.4% 5.4% 5.7% 6.5% 8.0% 11.0% 13.1% 13.9% 15.9% 7.0%
Harrison Stevens 1.3% 2.9% 3.1% 1.7% 2.9% 3.7% 3.6% 6.0% 8.5% 11.2% 15.4% 22.5% 17.2%
Robert Heath 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 3.0% 5.3% 6.2% 5.9% 7.5% 10.4% 14.1% 15.6% 16.1% 8.8%
Griffin Jones 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 1.5% 0.9% 1.5% 2.6% 2.8% 3.3% 4.9% 9.1% 16.1% 55.7%
Shea McGrath 2.2% 3.4% 3.7% 4.8% 4.2% 6.7% 8.4% 10.5% 11.2% 13.1% 14.3% 11.5% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.