Race 4B

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Richard Pokorny 11.3% 10.0% 11.5% 12.0% 10.5% 12.2% 10.7% 7.6% 6.9% 4.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Thomas Whidden 15.1% 17.0% 16.1% 13.6% 10.9% 9.3% 8.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Grant Schmidt 4.3% 6.8% 7.9% 9.2% 9.9% 10.5% 9.1% 12.0% 10.9% 8.8% 6.3% 3.8% 0.5%
reece schwartz 12.4% 13.5% 14.2% 12.8% 11.8% 10.0% 10.1% 6.5% 3.7% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.2%
Leila Pfrang 9.0% 9.5% 10.6% 9.8% 10.8% 10.5% 10.2% 11.8% 6.8% 6.1% 2.8% 1.7% 0.4%
Cody Roe 26.5% 20.4% 14.9% 13.1% 9.5% 7.1% 4.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Harrison Stevens 2.3% 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 3.6% 3.6% 5.3% 5.6% 7.8% 10.6% 15.6% 22.1% 17.0%
Robert Heath 2.0% 4.3% 2.4% 3.3% 3.8% 4.5% 5.1% 7.7% 11.2% 12.0% 15.2% 18.8% 9.7%
Caeden Nodurft 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% 7.0% 5.7% 7.9% 8.2% 11.0% 11.7% 12.0% 12.2% 7.5% 4.4%
Leonardo Burnham 7.6% 6.6% 7.0% 8.0% 11.6% 10.8% 11.0% 7.7% 10.9% 7.8% 6.6% 3.5% 0.9%
Griffin Jones 0.6% 0.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.7% 2.5% 2.1% 3.9% 3.5% 6.1% 9.6% 15.4% 53.8%
Tamsin Horne 2.0% 2.6% 3.8% 4.3% 4.6% 5.2% 7.5% 8.9% 11.4% 13.4% 13.4% 14.2% 8.7%
Shea McGrath 2.7% 3.0% 4.4% 3.9% 6.6% 5.9% 7.8% 9.7% 12.2% 13.2% 14.6% 11.6% 4.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.